AI RACE (PART 1) - BEFORE ASKING WHO IS WINNING, WE MUST FIRST DEFINE WHAT THE RACE IS
A Facebook troller of mine simply threw this 'one chart that beats them all" on his page, apeing Michael Bury's conviction of China's massive power generation capacity alone determines the eventual winner. There is no doubt AI is an electricity guzzler, but this is a black-and-white world view manifested in this black-and-white chart. Much of the debate about the AI Race is confused because it assumes a single finish line. In reality, AI development spans multiple dimensions - intelligence depth and deployment scale - each with different constraints, costs and political requirements. What does winning even mean? The answer is not forthcoming unless you have defined the parameters of the race. 100M, 100M HURDLES, 100M RELAY RACES An analogy of track races will make the point of this article clear. We do not decide the winner by inventorying resources, but by deciding who crosses the finishing line first under the rules of the events. ...