THE MONSTER CARRY TRADES OF MAS (SGD 390BN) AND PBOC (RMB 4.7TN)
China has literally constructed a huge dam that is holding back a massive amount of sterilised renmenbi threatening to break out and devastate downstream. Many serious structural problems exist in China's financial system and this dam is a good analogy of one of them. I am no Sinophobe, but simply trying to provide explanations of complex economic and financial situations in a way a lay person can appreciate. I want to go deep into the structural problems China's central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBOC), has been struggling with for decades. It's a long story to be spread over a few posts, at the end of which, it circles back to Singapore and you will understand in a connected world, how the Chinese problem filters down to money laundering incidents on our shores. And for those who sing high praises of Chinese golden age and dedollarisation, difference of opinion is perfectly fine. But I hope you stick around and let's go down the rabbit hole together. I h...