AIR INDIA LOSSES - FROM GENERIC CRITIQUE TO PRECISE STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS (PART 2/4)
Part 1 covers "A Severe Contraction in Top-Line Revenue" Part 2 covers "Catastrophic Foreign Exchange (FX) Losses" Y/e 31 Mar 2026 -- FX loss ₹7,388.23 crore (US$880 mn). (2025 loss ₹1,545.01 crore) We now come to the second core loss-driver - FX losses. Most Singaporeans view all Temasek investments in India come with huge currency risks because the rupee is weak. The local debates have not gone into understanding where the FX loss is coming from and can the bleeding be stopped. The FX loss is the financial consequence in the balance sheet, but what drove the operating decisions there, are there ways to mitigate it, if so, why was it not done, and is Tata-SIA doing something about it? These are the type of questions in a proper financial analysis which are not asked. One line sums it up - All Indian airlines are playing a long term game of short USD position holders with no hedging strategy, thus subject to the merciless vagaries of currency fluctu...